2017 Stats Thread

Procrastinating at work and I've found I've had to start getting creative with my procrastination...I was looking over the standings again today, as if they have changed since the last time I checked them (yesterday) and started looking at some of the Goals Allowed stats.

In the West, SKC and Dallas have had stellar defenses allowing only 2 and 3 goals all year respectively. But looking at the league overall and goals allowed per game, look at where we stand....

1. SKC - 0.333
2. FCD - 0.6
3. Orlando - 0.8 (1.0)
4. NYC - 0.833
5. Toronto - 1.0
6. San Jose - 1.143 (1.0)
6. Columbus - 1.143
8. Chicago - 1.167
8. Atlanta - 1.167
10. Portland - 1.286
10. RSL - 1.286
10. NJRB - 1.286
10. NER - 1.286
14. Seattle - 1.333
15. Montreal - 1.5 (1.6)
16. Colorado - 1.6
17. LAG - 1.667
17. DCU - 1.667 (1.25)
19. Houston - 1.833
19. Vancouver - 1.833
19. Philadelphia - 1.833 (1.8)
22. Minnesota - 3.429

For shits and giggles, I've also included in parentheses, what the goals allowed per game would be for our opponents so far, if you took away our games.

I know its early in the season, and I'm sure some of the home/away balances this early has a part to play in these numbers, but I do think its quite clear that our defense is massively improved from last year.

Weren't we also towards the top of goals scored per match as well? I like where this is headed.

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Weren't we also towards the top of goals scored per match as well? I like where this is headed.

giphy.gif
Lucky for you, I am still in procrastination mode:

1. Atlanta - 2.333
2. Portland - 2.286
3. Houston - 2.167
4. Minnesota - 1.714
5. NYC - 1.667
6. Columbus - 1.571
7. Chicago - 1.5
8. FCD - 1.4
9. Vancouver - 1.333
9. LAG - 1.333
9. Seattle - 1.333
12. NER - 1.286
13. Orlando - 1.2 (1.25)
14. Toronto - 1.167
14. Montreal - 1.167 (1.2)
16. San Jose - 1.143 (1.167)
16. RSL - 1.143
18. SKC - 1.0
18. Colorado - 1.0
18. NJRB - 1.0
21. Philadelphia - 0.833 (1.0)
22. DCU - 0.667 (0.4)

We are 2nd in the East in both categories and the only team in the top 5 in both categories.

Though, now looking at this, our goals allowed per game may be slightly inflated based on the teams we have played so far.
 
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Goal differential per game played, through April 15 (week 7).

1. Atlanta +1.17*
2. Portland +1.00*
3. NYCFC +0.83
4. Dallas +0.80*
5. Sporting KC +0.67
6. Columbus +0.43
7. Orlando +0.40
8. Houston +0.33*
8. Chicago +0.33
10. Toronto +0.17
11. New England 0.00*
11. Seattle 0.00
11. San Jose 0.00
14. Real Salt Lake -0.14*
15. NJRB -0.28
16. Montreal -0.33
16. LA Galaxy -0.33
18. Vancouver -0.50
19. Colorado -0.60*
20. Philly -1.00
20. DC United -1.00

22. Minnesota -1.71

* - indicates a team that has played Minnesota.
Boldface indicates a team that NYCFC have played.

Goal differential per game played, through May 8 (week 10).

1. Dallas +1.00
2. NYCFC +0.78
3. Toronto +0.70
4. Houston +0.67
5. Sporting KC +0.60
6. Atlanta +0.56
7. Portland +0.20
8. Seattle +0.22
9. San Jose 0.20
9. Columbus +0.20
11. Orlando 0.00
12. Chicago -0.11
13. New England 0.20
14. Montreal -0.22
14. Vancouver -0.22
16. Philly -0.33
17. NJRB -0.36
18. LA Galaxy -0.56
18. DC United -0.56
19. Colorado -0.88
20. Real Salt Lake -0.90
22. Minnesota -1.00

Boldface indicates a team that NYCFC have played.
 
Goal differential per game played, through May 8 (week 10).

1. Dallas +1.00
2. NYCFC +0.78
3. Toronto +0.70
4. Houston +0.67
5. Sporting KC +0.60
6. Atlanta +0.56
7. Portland +0.20
8. Seattle +0.22
9. San Jose 0.20
9. Columbus +0.20
11. Orlando 0.00
12. Chicago -0.11
13. New England 0.20
14. Montreal -0.22
14. Vancouver -0.22
16. Philly -0.33
17. NJRB -0.36
18. LA Galaxy -0.56
18. DC United -0.56
19. Colorado -0.88
20. Real Salt Lake -0.90
22. Minnesota -1.00

Boldface indicates a team that NYCFC have played.
And the two heavyweights are squaring off next...
 
Noticed not too long ago that we hadn't seen a penalty in any games so far this year. Was attempting to do some work in front of the games tonight and instead decided to look up penalties taken/faced by each team this year. We are the only team to have neither taken nor faced a penalty. Orlando has not taken one either, and were not scored on on the only attempt they faced.

upload_2017-5-14_18-40-47.png
 
Noticed not too long ago that we hadn't seen a penalty in any games so far this year. Was attempting to do some work in front of the games tonight and instead decided to look up penalties taken/faced by each team this year. We are the only team to have neither taken nor faced a penalty. Orlando has not taken one either, and were not scored on on the only attempt they faced.

View attachment 7006

Sure, but how much of this has to do with the rule change that allows other team's defenders to hit the ball with their hands in the box when playing against NYCFC?
 
Sure, but how much of this has to do with the rule change that allows other team's defenders to hit the ball with their hands in the box when playing against NYCFC?
The ref was right there too! That was so bad to miss that they Ref has to get reprimanded - an obvious game changing non-call that was potentially worth 2 extra points.
 
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The ref was right there too! That was so bad to miss that they Ref has to get reprimanded - an obvious game changing non-call that was potentially worth 2 extra points.
I think he saw it and chose not to call it. I base this on body language of the quick view we had of Villa complaining to him about it afterwards. I could be misreading it, but he seemed to nod as if indicating "Yes I saw it but...."
No I have no idea how he would finish the sentence.
 
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I think he saw it and chose not to call it. I base this on body language of the quick view we had of Villa complaining to him about it afterwards. I could be misreading it, but he seemed to nod as if indicating "Yes I saw it but...."
No I have no idea how he would finish the sentence.
All the more reason for Pro and MLS to discipline him. That was a textbook VAR case for stopping the game to award a PK.
 
This is probably the wrong thread to debate it, so I will post elsewhere, but I didn't think that was much of a handball. I'd like to see the video again, but I think his hand was already outstretched as he fell and it was ball to hand. I'm not even sure he saw the ball coming. Either way, I feel much less strongly about this one than the Villa shot that was blocked a couple of games ago.

ETA: Someone added video of the incident, and I now agree that it should have been ruled a handball and a penalty.
 
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This is probably the wrong thread to debate it, so I will post elsewhere, but I didn't think that was much of a handball. I'd like to see the video again, but I think his hand was already outstretched as he fell and it was ball to hand. I'm not even sure he saw the ball coming. Either way, I feel much less strongly about this one than the Villa shot that was blocked a couple of games ago.
Moved my comment to other thread
 
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Couple of interesting things from that ranking:

1. Top 5 teams are pretty much as expected except for ATL...they are +9 in the two early season wins against MNU and CHI and -1 in all other games. And this is after a 4-1 blowout win yesterday.

2. Hey look at Orlando - fifth in the table but GD tells a different story. Shows you that their early season success may be unsustainable.
 
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Couple of interesting things from that ranking:

1. Top 5 teams are pretty much as expected except for ATL...they are +9 in the two early season wins against MNU and CHI and -1 in all other games. And this is after a 4-1 blowout win yesterday.

2. Hey look at Orlando - fifth in the table but GD tells a different story. Shows you that their early season success may be unsustainable.
Some interesting stuff there, especially looking at the SS standing with ATL 2nd in GD and 15th in the table, and Orlando 16th in GD and 5th in the table.

Edit: canchon canchon said nearly the same things, haha

The interesting thing to track here is if there is some regression in the standings for teams that are highly placed but have a poor goal differential. You can argue that is already happening with Orlando.

Of course, the opposite could be true - some teams might be getting a good goal differential due to luck or other factors not well correlated to overall quality. Atlanta might be an example there.

My guess is that there will be some predictive capacity for these in regard to standings late in the season, but I am not certain of it. Will be fun to watch.

Viewfrom226 does a similar (and more complicated) analysis that he shares on Twitter. It is based on expected goals.