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MLS Playoff Race 2018

Discussion in 'Major League Soccer' started by Gotham Gator, Aug 4, 2018.

  1. Gotham Gator

    Gotham Gator Senior Member Donor

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    Interesting stuff from Mr. Doyle.

    How serious a chance do you have of making the playoffs if you're below the line entering Week 23? Let's dig back through the last three years (since the expansion to six playoff spots in each conference) to put it into perspective:

    2017: In the East, Atlanta United climbed above the line while Orlando City dropped. In the West, FC Dallas' death spiral was just picking up steam this time last year, which opened the door for San Jose to eventually climb into the playoffs.

    2016: You remember this one, right? D.C. United jumped up over the final three months of the season while the Revs did a nosedive, and in the West the Sounders made their now-annual second-half surge as the Whitecaps dropped out.

    2015: It was the first year of TAM, which was added midseason, so you'd think that would have made the league more volatile. But nope. Everyone who was above the playoff line as of Week 22 was above the playoff line at the end of the year.

    In other words: Four teams in three years have managed to make a late-season push over the hump. In 2016 those pushes were sparked by team-defining transfer window moves (Nicolas Lodeiro and, yes, Patrick Mullins), while in 2017 they were sparked by a weird schedule (Atlanta's run of home games in September and October) and Los Toros Tejanos' still-so-complete-I-can't-wrap-my-head-around-it meltdown.
    https://www.mlssoccer.com/post/2018/08/03/armchair-analyst-your-complete-guide-week-23-mls-slate
     
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  2. Gotham Gator

    Gotham Gator Senior Member Donor

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    So, with that in mind. Here is the East and the West and the line for each (using PPG). Pick one team in each conference to fall below the line and rise above the line.

    East
    ATL
    NYC
    NJR
    CLB
    NER
    PHI
    ____
    MON*
    TOR
    CHI
    ORL
    DCU

    West
    DAL
    POR
    LAF
    LAG
    SKC
    RSL
    ___
    VAN
    HOU
    MIN
    SEA
    COL
    SAN

    _______
    * - Above the line on pure points, but PHI has two games in hand.
     
  3. adam

    adam Senior Member Elite Donor Donor Seasoned Supporter

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    East: Philly & Toronto
    West: RSL & Manchester? That man city or Man U? Either way they easily can qualify
     
  4. Gotham Gator

    Gotham Gator Senior Member Donor

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    In the East, I think Toronto makes the playoffs and Philadelphia falls.

    In the West, I honestly think the six above the line stay there, but to follow the rules, I will say Vancouver passes RSL.
     
  5. Gotham Gator

    Gotham Gator Senior Member Donor

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    HA! Meant to type VAN and hit the M key. Fixed.
     
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  6. Seth

    Seth Active Member Elite Donor Seasoned Supporter

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    Darn it! Was preparing all sorts of salty replies in my head but then I scrolled down and saw you ruined it!
     
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  7. SoupInNYC

    SoupInNYC Senior Member Elite Donor

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    I'm with you on TFC and Philly. I think Seattle ends up making it above RSL, with Vancouver just behind.
     
  8. mgarbowski

    mgarbowski Senior Member Elite Donor Donor Seasoned Supporter

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