MLS Week 34 - 2018

LionNYC

LionNYC

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TUESDAY
USMNT vs. Peru 7:30 PM (ESPN2, Unimas, Univision Deportes)

WEDNESDAY
Orlando vs. Seattle 7:30 PM
D.C. vs. Toronto 7:30 PM
USWNT vs. Canada 8 PM (FS1/FS2)
Vancouver vs. Kansas City 10 PM

THURSDAY
Salt Lake vs. New England 9 PM

SUNDAY
Atlanta vs. Chicago 3 PM (ESPN)
D.C. vs. New York City 3 PM
Montreal vs. Toronto 3 PM
Orlando vs. Columbus 3 PM
Philadelphia vs. New Jersey 3 PM
Dallas vs. Kansas City 5 PM
Houston vs. Seattle 5 PM
LAFC vs. Vancouver 5 PM
Minnesota vs. LA Galaxy 5 PM (ESPN)
Portland vs. Salt Lake 5 PM
San Jose vs. Colorado 5 PM
 
I started typing out this week's scenarios and decided there were too many variables to consider in the West with the games mid-week (especially first round bye/home game scenarios), so only doing scenarios through Wednesday, and will do a more robust one afterwards, incorporating the Thursday game and weekend games.

This week's scenarios:
  • Eastern Conference (Clinched: Atlanta and NJ (first round bye), NYC, Philly; Eliminated: New England, Orlando, Toronto, Chicago)
    • No definites can occur mid-week, but Montreal will be in big trouble with a DC win against TFC
  • Western Conference (Clinched: FC Dallas, LAFC, SKC; Eliminated: Minnesota, Houston, Colorado, San Jose)
    • FC Dallas clinches a home playoff game with a Seattle loss at Orlando
    • Seattle clinches a playoff spot with a win at Orlando OR with a draw at Orlando and a Vancouver loss/draw to SKC or a RSL loss/draw to New England OR with loss/draws by both Vancouver and RSL
    • Portland clinches a playoff spot with loss/draws by both Vancouver and RSL
 
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Also of note is that RSL plays Thursday and Sunday and that will be their 33rd and 34th games. With the imbalance in the West, they are the ones who will not be playing on Decision Day.

I'm sure when MLS schedule makers were looking for who to exclude from Decision Day, they (though this will never be admitted), tried to pick a team that would not be in the playoff hunt, let alone in a close race for the last spot in the West. Depending on how this week and weekend shakes out, RSL will likely be intently watching the LA Galaxy game and the Galaxy should have an idea on exactly what they need to get done.
 
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SoupInNYC said:
Also of note is that RSL plays Thursday and Sunday and that will be their 33rd and 34th games. With the imbalance in the West, they are the ones who will not be playing on Decision Day.

I'm sure when MLS schedule makers were looking for who to exclude from Decision Day, they (though this will never be admitted), tried to pick a team that would not be in the playoff hunt, let alone in a close race for the last spot in the West. Depending on how this week and weekend shakes out, RSL will likely be intently watching the LA Galaxy game and the Galaxy should have an idea on exactly what they need to get done.
Click to expand...
LOL they should have known to pick Colorado, how could anyone NOT see that coming? They're the Browns of the MLS
 
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Shwafta said:
Yeah but Colorado 2016 was a fluke. Minnesota could gone NYCFC or Orlando, and they went Orlando.
Click to expand...

No. Orlando shot their wad their first few seasons, now they have no assets and an awfully constructed roster. Minnesota is saving all their _AM and blooding young players for a big push once their SSS opens. They're not Orlando, they're a sleeping bear. Watch out in a couple seasons.
 
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DCU vs Toronto tonight. Looks like Toronto will be sending out a much weakened squad due to its usual injuries and intl break (no Osorio, Giovinco, Bradley, Vasquez, who knows about Jozy etc). DCU catches a break here.

More interesting is that DCU has a decision to make as they are playing 3 games in a week and might play all the starters to get the W here and be 4 points up against MTL and then rotate vs NYC on Sunday. Or rotate this game and play full vs NYC.
 
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canchon said:
DCU vs Toronto tonight. Looks like Toronto will be sending out a much weakened squad due to its usual injuries and intl break (no Osorio, Giovinco, Bradley, Vasquez, who knows about Jozy etc). DCU catches a break here.

More interesting is that DCU has a decision to make as they are playing 3 games in a week and might play all the starters to get the W here and be 4 points up against MTL and then rotate vs NYC on Sunday. Or rotate this game and play full vs NYC.
Click to expand...
I think they’re gonna roll the dice and field strong teams next two matches at home. No travel. Rooney leading by example from ManU days of playing multiple matches every week with all of the cups interspersed with the league. They’re playing spirited ball right now.
 
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Seattle has now clinched their spot.

If RSL loses or draws New England tonight, Portland is clinched.
 
After last night, heading into this Sunday:
  • Eastern Conference (Clinched: Atlanta and NJ (first round bye), NYC, Philly; Eliminated: New England, Orlando, Toronto, Chicago)
    • Atlanta clinches Supporter's Shield with a win against Chicago and a NJ loss at Philly
    • NYC clinches 3 seed with a win at DCU and a Philly loss/draw to NJ OR a draw at DCU and a Philly loss to NJ and a Columbus loss/draw at Orlando
    • NYC clinches home playoff game with a win at DCU OR a Columbus loss/draw at Orlando
    • Philly clinches home playoff game with a win against NJ and a Columbus loss/draw at Orlando OR with a draw against NJ and a Columbus loss at Orlando and a DCU loss/draw to NYC
    • Columbus clinches playoff spot with a win at Orlando OR a Montreal loss/draw to TFC
    • DCU clinches a playoff spot with a win over NYC OR a Monreal loss to TFC OR a draw against NYC and a Montreal draw against TFC.
    • Montreal is eliminated with a loss to TFC OR a DCU win against NYC and a Columbus win/draw at Orlando OR a draw to TFC and a DCU draw against NYC
  • Western Conference (Clinched: FC Dallas, LAFC, SKC, Seattle; Eliminated: Minnesota, Houston, Colorado, San Jose)
    • FC Dallas clinches the #1 seed with a win against SKC and a LAFC loss to Vancouver
    • FC Dallas clinches a first round bye with a win against SKC
    • FC Dallas clinches a home playoff game with a draw against SKC OR a Portland loss/draw to RSL OR a Seattle loss at Houston
    • SKC clinches a home playoff game with a win at FC Dallas OR a Portland loss/draw to RSL OR a draw at FC Dallas and a Seattle loss at Houston
    • LAFC clinches a home playoff game with a win against Vancouver OR a Portland loss/draw to RSL OR a draw against Vancouver and a Seattle loss at Houston
    • Seattle clinches a home playoff game with a win at Houston and a Portland loss/draw to RSL OR a draw at Houston and a Portland loss to RSL
    • Portland clinches a playoff spot with a win/draw against RSL OR a LAG loss/draw at Minnesota
    • RSL clinches a playoff spot with a win at Portland OR a draw at Portland and a LAG loss/draw at Minnesota OR a LAG loss at Minnesota and a Vancouver loss/draw at LAFC
    • Vancouver is eliminated with a loss/draw at LAFC OR a RSL win/draw at Portland
 
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Zlatan Zlataned again. With RSL currently losing their last match of the season to Portland. LAG could control thier destiny next week with a win in SKC.
 
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