2017 Schedule Thread

But a lot of those hard games are home. Toronto, Chicago, Red Bulls, Sporting KC, Portland.

Outside of Toronto and Chicago, our hardest away match is probably Houston.
Houston is home. The only west teams we have left to play away is LA, who have been terrible at home, and Colorado
 
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In order we play

Toronto
Chicago
Toronto
NJRB
LA Galaxy
New England
NJRB
Sporting KC
Timbers
Colorado
Dynamo
Montreal
Chicago
New England
Columbus

4/15 decides supporters shield and are the three best teams.

LA is bottom third
New England x2 is bottom of east and bottom quarter.
NJRB x2 is out of playoffs in east but middle of pack in points.
Sporting KC is best in west and right behind us in rankings.
Timbers are right above NJRB and middle of pack.
Colorado is worse than New England 3rd from bottom.
Dynamo are right above timbers and in middle of pack.
Montreal Impact are bottom quarter
Columbus are high side of middle of pack.

Our schedule is then.

5/15 best in league.

4/15 are bottom feeders.

6/15 are in the middle somewhere. Tending towards the higher side of the middle.


Is our remaining schedue super hard, I don't think so, its probably average or a bit above average at best. But that's entirely based on points totals and not the form or possible reinforcements teams could bring in.

But if you really look at the table, the strength of schedule is kind of deceiving based on a straight ranking system. Near as I can tell a strength of schedule remaining of 1.41 + or - .1 is enough to encapsulate 13/22 teams. So really its not that NYCFC's schedule is massively weaker than everyone else's its that its ever so slightly weaker than the majority of teams in the league in a tight cluster. And the difference between the strongest and weakest schedule remaining is .53 points per game. In other words, enforced fnancial parity works bitches.

But we all knew that, since the supporters shield in MLS has never been won with more than 67 points. Which is about 26 less points than you typically need to win the premier league.
Does that score that mlssoccer.com put out consider other factors such as home/away?

For example, Houston is pretty strong this year, but are awful on the road, and we have them at Yankee Stadium. On a strange flip side, we are at LAG this year and they cannot seem to figure it out at home.

For our other tougher West games, those are also at home with SKC and Portland.
 
Yes, the strength of schedule does not just look at the average points of the teams that you play. It uses each opponent's average home or away points depending on where you play them. So, we benefit - oddly - from playing LA in LA, where they have been poor.
 
Houston is home. The only west teams we have left to play away is LA, who have been terrible at home, and Colorado

My mistake. So we really only have to deal with our Eastern Conference opponents...

Don't remind me of that RSL shitshow.
 
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What I found interesting was this in a related article from 3 days ago. Over the last two seasons, only 2 teams below the playoff line in points per game at this point in the year ended up making the playoffs.

https://www.mlssoccer.com/post/2017...-through-and-their-playoff-odds-going-forward

If we resort to "points per game," which offers a better correlation to a team's final standing, only two teams have entered the playoff field after being on the outside after 55 percent of the season: the 2015 New England Revolution and, of course, the 2016 Seattle Sounders who made a dramatic run to MLS Cup. They made it at the expense of Orlando City SC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC in their respective conferences.​
 
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What I found interesting was this in a related article from 3 days ago. Over the last two seasons, only 2 teams below the playoff line in points per game at this point in the year ended up making the playoffs.

https://www.mlssoccer.com/post/2017...-through-and-their-playoff-odds-going-forward

If we resort to "points per game," which offers a better correlation to a team's final standing, only two teams have entered the playoff field after being on the outside after 55 percent of the season: the 2015 New England Revolution and, of course, the 2016 Seattle Sounders who made a dramatic run to MLS Cup. They made it at the expense of Orlando City SC and Vancouver Whitecaps FC in their respective conferences.​
It gets late early.
 
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That is a shit move by MLS and the networks. There is no reason why west teams hosting east ones can't start their games by 7pm pacific time. Even that's pushing it - 4pm PT is perfect for both coasts on a Saturday.
National TV is a reason.
 
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National TV is a reason.
I can't imagine that ESPN prefers that a game between 2 of the biggest markets in the country start at bedtime for one of those markets. It also seems unlikely that they bumped this game in favor of a semifinal of the Rogers Cup which is what's on in prime time. Is there something else driving this?