Only two weeks left. This Sunday, with the East at 5pm and the West games at 7:30pm; and next Sunday, Decision Day, with everyone playing at 5pm.
Here are the standings and games remaining. Who is in and out? Who gets which seed? Who do we draw in the post season?
View attachment 10299
Only two weeks left. This Sunday, with the East at 5pm and the West games at 7:30pm; and next Sunday, Decision Day, with everyone playing at 5pm.
Here are the standings and games remaining. Who is in and out? Who gets which seed? Who do we draw in the post season?
View attachment 10299
Or it could be this kind of cake.would be interesting to see a HRD in the 2nd round of playoffs. going through the red bulls to get to the cup would be really icing on the cake.
Or it could be this kind of cake.
FWIW I checked last night after we won and before the Quakes/Union game. We were at 98%.So, 538 has NYC at 92% to win the East.
You guys are all scared of getting 0 points from 2 games when we haven't gotten 0 points from a game in like two months
Our last loss was 8/11 @ Atlanta. The only time we lost 2 in a row as Portland 7/7 & @NJRB 7/14, where were very shorthanded. Again @NER we are very shorthanded. I almost like our chances of a point better @PHI when we should have our whole squad back. Really hoping CLB helps us out Sunday. All the matches are the same time, so we won't know till after we've played if we needed the get the point ourselves.
would be wonderful to have it clinched before decision day. i'm not afraid of taking on philly... but i am worried they will injure our guys.
I end up worried or confident depending on how I look at it.In the east, NYC can get pipped by Philly more easily than might appear to be the case.
This is pretty much the perfect summation for why Philly finishing first is more likely than it seems.I end up worried or confident depending on how I look at it.
Worried:
It is a huge benefit to Philadelphia that we play each other. In any other situation, a 6 point deficit with 2 games left for each team would mean they have to have 4 games go perfectly, and they would only have the ability to affect 2 of them. But because we play each other it is just 3 and they still affect 2. That's really important. They win one, we lose one, and then it's just 1 game they have to win...
And even if we finish 2nd to Philly (which would really suck, don't get me wrong), I would hands down take going into the playoffs with the only two possible road games being at Philly or MLS cup at LAFC. We don't have to play at Red Bull, Atlanta, or Toronto.I end up worried or confident depending on how I look at it.
Worried:
It is a huge benefit to Philadelphia that we play each other. In any other situation, a 6 point deficit with 2 games left for each team would mean they have to have 4 games go perfectly, and they would only have the ability to affect 2 of them. But because we play each other it is just 3 and they still affect 2. That's really important. They win one, we lose one, and then it's just 1 game they have to win and the fact that they (in this scenario) managed to roll a hard six starting last night has no effect on the likelihood of them winning a home game. It's like blowing a 3-0 lead in a 7 game series. It is no solace to know how few teams come back from 3-0 because by the time you get to game 7 the odds are very different. The comeback team has already overcome all the long odds just to get there. Now nobody has to win 4 in a row. It's just not that ridiculous that they win 2 in a row and we lose the other.
Confident:
Each of the 3 games has 3 possible outcomes. We own 2 of the outcomes for each game; Philly just one. And they have to hit on all 3 while we just need 1 good result. Not all outcomes are equally likely but in MLS any 2 outcomes for a game are usually worth more than 50% of the possibilities, so The Union needs to hit on less than even odds in 3 games. And it's not chance, NYCFC gets to affect the outcome of 2 of them.
One way or another I think it ends this weekend. If not..... I still like our chances but it's nail biting time.
Yeah. Give us 2 chances to win in Philly and we win one of them.And even if we finish 2nd to Philly (which would really suck, don't get me wrong), I would hands down take going into the playoffs with the only two possible road games being at Philly or MLS cup at LAFC. We don't have to play at Red Bull, Atlanta, or Toronto.
And even if we finish 2nd to Philly (which would really suck, don't get me wrong), I would hands down take going into the playoffs with the only two possible road games being at Philly or MLS cup at LAFC. We don't have to play at Red Bull, Atlanta, or Toronto.
...Said Philly last year and lost both of them.Yeah. Give us 2 chances to win in Philly and we win one of them.