Tiebreakers are unchanged, except adjusted for games played. So first tiebreaker is number of wins per games played, But unless a game unexpectedly gets canceled, we will be even on games played with all relevant teams. So just the number of wins matters. In this scenario, Columbus stays flat at 11 wins and NYC ends with 12 so NYC wins the tiebreaker. I'm not sure why you think the GD swing matters, as you clearly realize wins is the first tiebreaker with respect to Orlando.1) Orlando win on wednesday
- Orlando goes on 41, unattainable by NYCFC, but Columbus stays on 38 - we can overtake that to 39 if they lose on the final day.
- If Columbus tie their last game, they would go to 39 and we would go to tie breakers where I'm not sure how that's changed (if) with the point system change. But we would have a good chance to win the tiebreaker due to the goal swing of us winning + them losing to Orlando of at least 4 goals.