The 2019 MLS Cup Playoffs

Saving this here so we know were all the MLSsoccer.com pundits stand. Doyle is just something else.


Honest question:

Who cares what they think? Seriously -- they play the games on the field, not on Twitter. Why am I supposed to care which pundits picked which teams? They're not biased, they have legitimate reasons to pick Atlanta or Toronto to beat us - Atlanta is Atlanta, and Toronto is the only other team we struggled against in the East. It's not like they're being unreasonable.
 
Honest question:

Who cares what they think? Seriously -- they play the games on the field, not on Twitter. Why am I supposed to care which pundits picked which teams? They're not biased, they have legitimate reasons to pick Atlanta or Toronto to beat us - Atlanta is Atlanta, and Toronto is the only other team we struggled against in the East. It's not like they're being unreasonable.

Because Twitter is how to get eyeballs and fans and dollars.
 
Because Twitter is how to get eyeballs and fans and dollars.

So you think people are less likely to come check out a playoff game because a guy who's first name I had to look up has us losing? (Seriously, I wrote Brian Doyle at first before I checked and saw it was Matt).

Anyone who's actual fan of NYCFC will know better than that, and anyone who's thinking about maybe checking out a game for the first time wouldn't even know where to find this video clip.
 
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they were dominant throughout the first 3/4 of the season. i agree they've fallen off their record pace in the last 1/4 of the season. teams have started to figure them out and play better against them. not only that, but they do not rise to the challenge of big time games. they have yet to beat the LAG (one could argue zlatan has risen higher, making LAG better on that day) and they lost in USOC. They have supp. shield, which shows they killed the regular season. No one can argue that. But when it comes to big time games, single elimination.. i think they don't have what it takes. Especially, if they have to go up against Zlatan and the galaxy at the banc, where Zlatan has already said he WANTS to come back again because he LOVES to play there. Even if it's MU, it won't be an easy game for them (LAFC).
Do they have a Plan B?
 
Saving this here so we know were all the MLSsoccer.com pundits stand. Doyle is just something else.

What I mostly find interesting about this, is how much love the Timbers continue to get, especially now with Brian Fernandez unlikely to play during the playoffs.
  • 4/7 analysts picked the Timbers to win their first round matchup at RSL.
  • 3/7 analysts picked the Timbers to advance to the Western Conference Final
This would mean a win at RSL, who is 12-4-1 at home and then most likely a win at Seattle, who is 11-2-4 at home, while the Timbers are just 6-8-3 on the road. Furthermore, in their last 6 games, the Timbers have picked up only 6 points. 5 of those games were at home.

*I do recognize that it's possible that Doyle's bracket isn't actually what he thinks, since he seems to just be going for shock value, but I did still include him in the numbers above.
 
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What I mostly find interesting about this, is how much love the Timbers continue to get, especially now with Brian Fernandez unlikely to play during the playoffs.
  • 4/7 analysts picked the Timbers to win their first round matchup at RSL.
  • 3/7 analysts picked the Timbers to advance to the Western Conference Final
This would mean a win at RSL, who is 12-4-1 at home and then most likely a win at Seattle, who is 11-2-4 at home, while the Timbers are just 6-8-3 on the road. Furthermore, in their last 6 games, the Timbers have picked up only 6 points. 5 of those games were at home.

*I do recognize that it's possible that Doyle's bracket isn't actually what he thinks, since he seems to just be going for shock value, but I did still include him in the numbers above.
It seemed to me that a general theme of the picks -- when going against chalk -- was a preference for teams who won recently: Atlanta, Toronto, Seattle, Portland.
 
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When filling out a bracket. A good way to go is to assume a certain number of upsets each round and then pick the games you think are most likely to end up with an upset. I do this each year in the NCAA Tournament pool and have had good results.

Of course, with March Madness there is ample precedent for how many upsets to expect each round. With MLS this season, there are no precedents.

I would go with what 538 is predicting for the opening round and then extrapolate.

1st Round: 2/6
2nd Round: 1-2/4
3rd Round: 0-1/2
 
Speaking of which, are we doing a tournament pick'em group this year?

EDIT: I made a league below.

 
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