All these arguments, on both sides, have some validity, and for good reason: we don't really know what we have yet. It's too early in the development curve for the young guys. Five months just isn't enough time to get a truly accurate read on their potential level. All we can know right now is where their level is at the moment, based on limited information.
Which brings up a point. The data are information, not The Facts. They can tell us what happened, but just as important are the when and why, not to mention the how. They can only tell us the past, something about the present and very little about the future. They must be viewed in context, with the understanding no one can predict what will happen; we can only project based on current information.
Those projections don't look great for Jovan right now. He hasn't scored. Extend the trend line and it's, well, flat.
But the only way we can truly find out if he can score consistently is to give him the chance to do it. And I can say from personal experience, being a muscular athlete myself, dudes with a package need
run. They need to sweat and battle and get into the fight. Every game I ever played in every sport (and I played them all), I always started slow. By the last quarter to the third of every game, I was stronger than anyone around.
We won late a lot.
Now, I understand the impulse to send Jovan to the Deuce to get his minutes. From a certain perspective, it makes sense. But personally, I don't think he's going to grow fast enough being the big kid with the little kids. (No offense to our Deuce, and I'm making a bit of a joke, but sometimes it looks perilously close to a high school team out there, at least in terms of the age profile.) He needs to be the little kid fighting for a place with the big kids.
And we have to do something. I had us with four points in my book over the last three games -- a draw with the Crew, a loss in LA and a win in Nashville. We got none. I had us down for five or six goals. We got two, and now our GD is lagging in a conference where we are definitely going to be in a dogfight for favorable seeding, if not for a playoff spot at all.
By no means is it a disaster. Every team has ups and downs in MLS. It's a parity league. But to me, that means the margins are even finer than in other circuits.
I get the argument which holds those fine margins mean going with whomever has the hot hand on the stat sheet. I just happen to believe it's more important to win the war than any particular battle. I take the long view. July is going to be a bitch, and so is September, when things are going to get
really serious. Then, if we're good enough, we're going to be in a heck of a playoff scrum. We need to push the young guys into the deep end of the pool now if we're going to be all we can be by then.
If I'm in Nick's shoes, I put my hands on Jovan's shoulders and tell him, "Okay, here's your chance. You're ready. Don't worry, don't think about anything but giving it your best and go get 'em. I believe in you. Here's your chance to be a Lion tamer." (Yuk yuk yuk.)
Speaking of Orlando, I have some thoughts about that, but I'll save them for the match thread. In the meantime, I love the conversation. Everyone loves our team, and everyone has some great points. Being a member of this Forum is one of my great pleasures, so let me just say
thank you.