Yeah he broke it down they are something like only one loss and a plus 22 goal differential against non playoff teams. They’ve crushed the bottom of the table and that’s why they will win the shield.
Kind of the opposite of NYCFC. Bet against Philly in the playoffs when the quality of competition increases.
Makes sense that the Shield recipe is (1) don't lose at Home and (2) beat up on bad teams Away.
Checking, and the Union have just 1 Home loss (to Nashville) in 16 games.
Their best home wins include Cincy, Charlotte, then some low level playoff teams. They have home draws against Miami, Orlando, Columbus, and Toronto.
Their West conference opponents were 4 bottom dwellers: Galaxy (W) and St. Louis (W) Home, plus Houston (T), and Dallas (T) Away. Western playoff opponents were wild card Colorado (W) Home and Vancouver (A), who gave them a 7-0 beat down. I really hope Vancouver has their fan version of
Brooklyn Blue. But that's a fortunate soft draw of West opponents.
In sum, their home record against better playoff teams is meh, with a lot of draws. But with Home advantage in the playoffs, I'd still probably consider them most likely to win. Of course than means far below 50% overall, but better odds than probably any other team.