I don't know Spanish, but I am pretty sure 'Maximilian' means 'maximize fantasy points' in English.Sabo did you have to captain Moralez?
I don't know Spanish, but I am pretty sure 'Maximilian' means 'maximize fantasy points' in English.Sabo did you have to captain Moralez?
yessir lost a hundo. why? who knows. Maybe at his price he needs to generate more then 5 points-per-week on a rolling two week average to avoid going down. All I know is i played the money game early and now i finish weeks with 8mm+ extra in the bank. It's pretty stupid. No starting 11 is out of reach for me. I don't even get mad when i lose 500 on medina. Like sure his last game was bad, but he did well on wednesday, why is he losing 500, who knows?Zlatan scored a goal but his value went down? Am I reading that correctly?
¯\_(ツ)_/¯yessir lost a hundo. why? who knows. Maybe at his price he needs to generate more then 5 points-per-week on a rolling two week average to avoid going down. All I know is i played the money game early and now i finish weeks with 8mm+ extra in the bank. It's pretty stupid. No starting 11 is out of reach for me. I don't even get mad when i lose 500 on medina. Like sure his last game was bad, but he did well on wednesday, why is he losing 500, who knows?
I am pretty sure the values are based on the average points/game per season. At the end of Week 3 Medina was averaging 7+ points/game. Since then his average points have dropped to less than 6 and his value goes down +/- $2M going from a 7+ point/game player to a 5+ point/game player.yessir lost a hundo. why? who knows. Maybe at his price he needs to generate more then 5 points-per-week on a rolling two week average to avoid going down. All I know is i played the money game early and now i finish weeks with 8mm+ extra in the bank. It's pretty stupid. No starting 11 is out of reach for me. I don't even get mad when i lose 500 on medina. Like sure his last game was bad, but he did well on wednesday, why is he losing 500, who knows?
Big Game Week 8 on-deck with #1 Malinska FC v. #2 Berget's BadAss Beard
Drago is no match for Berget's Beard
Erm...him, i must break him.
Big Game Week 8 on-deck with #1 Malinska FC v. #2 Berget's BadAss Beard
Am I understanding you correctly that you are ditching a more accurate model for a model that you think will do a better job at winning?Got the xFMLS projections up and running in a Google Doc link that should stay the same for the rest of the season:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/197PS0D4OnsG7OYeEeNHsFzMsMFtg62Hi7utQHCFwBmI/edit?usp=sharing
I've reworked the model after the previous xGC-heavy version got too attached to low-lying midfielders. This edition doesn't fit the 2017 data quite as well for lower-point players but it's good with high performers. After doing some work on the matchup rankings I'm happy with how this week's projections are looking. Other improvements: it's finally got positions listed for LionNYC, price data that helped generate some fun value charts (see the spreadsheet tabs), and clean sheet projections to help pick GK/DEF.
Somebody please take out Berget, he's crushing everybody in the non-H2H league.
Am I understanding you correctly that you are ditching a more accurate model for a model that you think will do a better job at winning?
I was just busting on you and being regressive. You should be tweaking the model to make it more useful and I think you are on the right track. Its great work.Sort of. The regression fit on the latest model isn't as good for the full data set of hundreds of FWD/MID, but it's better with players in the top quartile, who are the guys fantasy players actually care about. Most importantly, it's got fewer weird outliers and less of an identifiable bias toward a type of player who's not very useful for fantasy purposes.
I think most of my work on the model for the next few weeks will go toward improving matchups, which are the real difference maker in fantasy but can be hard to predict.
Got the xFMLS projections up and running in a Google Doc link that should stay the same for the rest of the season:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/197PS0D4OnsG7OYeEeNHsFzMsMFtg62Hi7utQHCFwBmI/edit?usp=sharing
I've reworked the model after the previous xGC-heavy version got too attached to low-lying midfielders. This edition doesn't fit the 2017 data quite as well for lower-point players but it's good with high performers. After doing some work on the matchup rankings I'm happy with how this week's projections are looking. Other improvements: it's finally got positions listed for LionNYC, price data that helped generate some fun value charts (see the spreadsheet tabs), and clean sheet projections to help pick GK/DEF.
Somebody please take out Berget, he's crushing everybody in the non-H2H league.
Unfortunately I have Russell, Melia, Zusi and Amor on my bench. Wink. Wink.I literally had my finger hovering over save to switch Russell in but decided to keep salloi. I liked the 15 minutes of what I saw from him when he played against us. Now I am annoyed and it’s only the first game of the week. I hate fantasy again.