Philly was the Supporters Shield winners last year. They lost key players and only signed homegrowns, yes. But doesn't that also apply to us?
TFC could be worse than us, I agree with you. But they still have plenty of talent, that I think with our current lack of signings, I would still expect TFC to finish ahead of us right now. I definitely don't think it's unreasonable to think someone would pick TFC over us, even if you think we'll be ahead of them.
Same thing with Miami. They may not figure it all out, but they have a ton of talent. I think we'll end up being on par with them, placing 1-2 spots either ahead of them or below them. I don't think it's unreasonable to think someone would pick them over us.
Cincinnati does look much better on paper than before. That was the one I probably should have put as "arguable" I think. I do think they'll have a good season, but we'll see.
My main point wasn't to say that we're going to suck, or finish super low. I just think that when you take a step back and size things up, it's not super unreasonable to think we'll finish between 6-8 like these MLS pundits have us.
Perhaps summer signings do drastically swing things in our favor, but I don't think you can bank on that at the moment.