I did the same calculation and it changes my 2026 increase from 27% to 12% subject to assumptions. Of course that must be counter-adjusted for my reservations about the likelihood NYCFC has a home playoff game this year, which requires finishing 8th or higher. That's in the vicinity of 50-50 for me right now. And next year's odds are impossible to measure. Could be anything.Taking another look at the price increase, it is oddly complex because of the free possible playoff tickets.
If the team makes the playoffs this year and next, and if I would have bought those tickets both years, and if I assume playoff tickets price at more premium levels than average regular season match ...
I could make the case that my tickets only went up by 3%.
Of course, that 3% increase actually looks considerable larger the following season when none of these free tickets are included. But it is more complicated than a straight 17% increase.
I will add that I think the inclusion of a "free" first playoff match is going to continue after 2026. I see little downside from the team's perspective They build it into the total cost and don't have to refund if they miss the playoffs. I think ticket sales around MLS for the best-of-three round were meh, especially for teams in positions 5-9.
Apart from feels and vibes, this is where having a playoff bubble team 3 years straight really hurts. A 12% increase for 2026 is steep but not fully crazy in the way 27% is. Make it straight 12% and I might grumble but not really think about canceling. But it's not straight 12% and this team can very well disappoint both years.