MLS - April 18 - Charlotte (CF)

Ojeda no end product. Say what you want about Wolff (I have a lot to say) but he scored goals. Ojeda and Magno are depth pieces on a good team.
Ojeda has as many goals and more goal involvements than Wolf at this stage of the season. They both have low totals, but that is where they stand now.

Of the two of them yesterday I'd also say Ojeda looked the more threatening, including a hard struck shot at a tight angle and a header that was unlucky to go off the post.

We may agree to disagree. (And I'm a fan of Wolf.)
 
Finally, someone who gets it.

Game can be summed up in one phrase -

“ball not go in.”

Arsenal couldn't finish in the 2nd half today. Are they a bad finishing team, or were they just unlucky those chances didn't go in?

We scored 8 goals in our first 3 games. Did we forget to score since then, or did the ball just not go in?

That's why we play 34 games. Our luck that was cashing in every chance the first few weeks is turning, and it'll turn again. Hopefully it all evens out by November.
 
Arsenal couldn't finish in the 2nd half today. Are they a bad finishing team, or were they just unlucky those chances didn't go in?

We scored 8 goals in our first 3 games. Did we forget to score since then, or did the ball just not go in?

That's why we play 34 games. Our luck that was cashing in every chance the first few weeks is turning, and it'll turn again. Hopefully it all evens out by November.

We played a man up in those first 3 games too.
 
We played a man up in those first 3 games too.

For the year we have roughly 1.5 G-xG, not very significant but slightly efficient.
In the Orlando game our G-xG was ~2.5, so in the rest of the season we're at about -1.0, again not of great import but slightly inefficient.

Of more concern is that in the first 3 games our team xG per game was slightly above 2, and since then it's down to about 1.3, depending on whether you use ASA or FotMob (which I believe is Opta).* This is so even though the team is taking slightly more shots in the last 5 games.

What I find most noteworthy in this game is that although NYC outshot Charlotte 22-7, Inside the Box was 14-7, On Target was just 7-5, Big Chances was 3-3, and Charlotte blocked 7 shots and NYCFC just 1. Most of the shots that Charlotte blocked were from inside the box.

Also, Wolf and Ojeda ranked 1 and 2 (on both teams!) for touches inside the box with 9 and 7 respectively. Despite this:
Gray plus Gustavo combined for more shots than Wolf plus Ojeda.
Talles Magno took as many shots in 23 minutes as Wolf and Ojeda did in 153.
O'Toole and Gray had more xA than Wolf plus Ojeda.
Keaton Parks had more xA than either Wolf or Ojeda while playing just 13 minutes.
What the hell were Wolf and Ojeda doing all game?

* I never use the MLS xG stats. ASA and FotMob are usually close with MLS as an outlier, and almost always higher. For the Charlotte game the MLS xG for NYCFC was almost 50% higher than the average of ASA and FotMob. So I don't trust MLS xG data. Generally I use FotMob for individual shot info, big chances, shots in the box, and open play vs set play breakdowns, plus a couple other single game things that ASA doesn't provide, and ASA for everything else because it makes it easiest to sort by date range, position, H/A, etc. And I shake my head ruefully when someone references MLS xG.
Finally, all of them sometimes adjust the numbers a few days after each game which I presume is the result of QC and I appreciate but does mean that the hot takes right after a game can be a bit off.
 
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