Cincinnati has had some terrible goalkeeper performances this year. Apart from that they are not as bad as they seem, just as they were not as good as they seemed in 2025.
Compared to last year: G/90 is even, xGF is up about a quarter goal per game, and xGA is down by 1/8 goal per game. All good. But their GA is up by a full goal per game (though mostly concentrated in 4 terrible games). Their backup GK played 2 games, but I don't know if they got tired of Celentano being bad or if he's been hurt. For all that, it would only take flipping one of their losses to a win and they would have the same record as NYCFC. Also their record last year was inflated with an absurd 16 wins by 1 goal margins.
This is our best shot since Orlando to score goals by the bucketful. It will also prove as much (ie not much). But let's hope we do anyway!