30-year is 3%, so why use 2.5%?I think you have an extra 0.
NPV of $500k for 99 years at 2.5% = $18.3 million
30-year is 3%, so why use 2.5%?I think you have an extra 0.
NPV of $500k for 99 years at 2.5% = $18.3 million
Why does a landlord put a fresh coat of paint on the walls?Why would the state pay for those capital improvements unless they were developing the land for their own use?
That's true, but this is a land lease so not relevant.Why does a landlord put a fresh coat of paint on the walls?
You want a renter, you either make Capital improvements yourself or you give them a credit to do it themselves. That’s how it works in all retail leases and residential leases.
Land that can’t be built on without capital improvements (steel platform and remediation) is 100% relevant. It’s exactly what I was describing.That's true, but this is a land lease so not relevant.
No it doesn't. It boosters the argument that they're better served selling it. In fact, that was my whole point all along.
But the state doesn't want to sell it, they want to lease it.No it doesn't. It boosters the argument that they're better served selling it. In fact, that was my whole point all along.
But the state doesn't want to sell it, they want to lease it.
The state could turn around and put the land up for sale and then FredMertz will argue they didn't get enough for it.
His objection is that of a zealot. It's not rooted in anything factual.
So now your argument is that the State should sell the land and not lease the land? I thought your issue was that the City wasn't going to make enough money.
Stop moving goalposts
I didn't say that. I just said they should get a fair market deal whether they sell or lease and that 500k a year did not seem fair, especially given that it prevents tax collection on a property that is likely to generate significant income for its owners. Whether or not they can collect taxes on the land dramatically changes the value proposition for the seller and should have a significant impact on the price they require.FredMertz why can't they just increase the lease payment. Why does it have to be sold to get max value?
If this is the initial proposal, the developer would put in a lower payment for negotiating purposes. Doubling the lease agreement to 20 million a year for 20-30 year lease would bring the state in 400-600 million and they would still have an asset.
Source please.But the state doesn't want to sell it, they want to lease it.
Your responses have become oddly intense and immensely unappealing.
I am totally respecting what you are trying to do here.
I think the disconnect is that early on, you were saying that $18 million (or $10 million) is not a fair purchase price and compared that to recent sales. But those other sales were on land that was basically ready for building. This land will take $100 million to be ready for building. So, when comparing purchase prices, it is fair to include whatever amount the tenant has to pay to make the property ready for building.
I am totally respecting what you are trying to do here.
I think the disconnect is that early on, you were saying that $18 million (or $10 million) is not a fair purchase price and compared that to recent sales. But those other sales were on land that was basically ready for building. This land will take $100 million to be ready for building. So, when comparing purchase prices, it is fair to include whatever amount the tenant has to pay to make the property ready for building.
Source please.
Funniest post in forum historyStop moving goalposts
They want to keep the trains running. That can’t happen if sold.Source please.
Agreed. However, given that they appear to require use of every square foot of the land (and perhaps then some) and a significant portion of the land is NOT active rail lines, would you agree that their cost to prepare the land for construction is likely much higher than it would be for most other projects? Someone could build quite a retail/apartment complex only on the land up to the rail line.
If it were a toxic site that had to be fully remediated for anyone to build anything on it, I would agree with you (and Ulrich) that remediating it would be a cost the state should expect to bear. But I don't think that's the case.
Also, the only source for that $75mm number is the developer proposal -- and the developer is certainly not incented to forecast those costs conservatively...