That's not completely unreasonable, and could be necessary. For kicks, I just went through our full schedule and assigned a W/L/T to every game based on team strength, how well we played them last year, H/A, short rest, etc. I won't even pretend there's any special validity to it but I tried to be reasonable. I started with those 5 straight wins, and ended at 14-11-9, which is 51 points, which would put us in the playoffs but not with a lot of cushion based on last year. Turn one win into a loss and we'd be out. I think some here would be more aggressively optimistic than me and would generate higher points if they did the same thing.
But the point that has real meaning is that if the team doesn't start with a 5-game win streak, those points have to be made up later in games that -- on paper in preseason -- seem tougher. And really, no matter how easy the schedule, starting with 5 straight wins will be tough.
Finally, FWIW, if you divide the season into 4 quarters of 9, 8, 8 and 9 games, I gave us:
1st Quarter - 21 points 2.33 PPG
2nd Quarter - 14 points 1.75 PPG
3rd Quarter - 6 points 0.75 PPG
4th Quarter - 10 points 1.11 PPG
This is really more of a measurement of the schedule than anything else. If the team - as I hope - gets better as the season progresses, we could do better in the later quarters (and worse in the first). And opponents will be improving and declining as well so even this schedule assessment will be off. But right now the 3rd Quarter section of the season looks killer. If we do well there, we're a damn good team.
I'd be curious to see anyone else's results from this exercise. It takes about 15 minutes. Just go through the schedule and assign the results. Don't add anything up until it's you finish and see what you get.