So it starts to get a little cloudy who we would play as the 2 seed. If Atlanta drops anymore points, Chicago might over take them.
Atlanta drops to 4 seed, Chicago takes 3 seed...NYCFC plays Chicago and Toronto plays Atlanta, ATL takes out TOR and NYCFC defeats ATL to host MLS Cup...
Wishful thinking, I know.
Atlanta has 1 point lead on Chicago and major tiebreaker advantageAtlanta drops to 4 seed, Chicago takes 3 seed...NYCFC plays Chicago and Toronto plays Atlanta, ATL takes out TOR and NYCFC defeats ATL to host MLS Cup...
Wishful thinking, I know.
irregardless
We clinch the 2nd seed on 10/15 if:Atlanta has 1 point lead on Chicago and major tiebreaker advantage
ATL plays at Red Bulls, Home to TFC
CHI plays Home to PHI, Away to HOU.
If ATL gets 6 points they finish ahead of CHI
If ATL gets 3 or 4 points they finish ahead unless Chicago wins both
If ATL gets 2 points they finish ahead unless Chicago wins one, other CHI result doesn't matter
If ATL gets 1 points CHI can tie twice or win at least one to finish ahead
Meanwhile, NYCFC's Magic Number for Atlanta is down to 4. A draw and a win means NYC gets second place no matter what ATL does.
We clinch the 2nd seed on 10/15 if:
- We win and ATL loses or draws at NJ
- We draw and ATL loses AND Chicago loses or draws at home to Philly
Nice catch, though in the scenario where we draw, its not completely clinched, some of it being semantics. We would also need:combining those results above with a VAN loss at NJ also clinches NYC 2nd in line to host MLS Cup after Toronto.
538 jumped us from 54% to 83% for second place and a bye.
PlayoffStatus.com went from 48% to 75%.
538 odds for NYC winning MLS cup went from 9% to 14%, which I guess reflects how important they think it is to avoid the knockout round. PlayoffStatus also has NYC at 14% but I don't know what it was before yesterday. In both cases NYC has the second best odds behind only Toronto. This shows, I think, how much better the stats show NYC is over any West team, because usually the second highest odds to win will come from the opposite conference than the favorite.
Based on what I've read, the absolute earliest Almiron may be back is the last game of the regular season. Sounds like Garza wouldn't be back until the conference finals at the earliest.Let's not forget that NJ could be playing for their playoff lives vs. ATL, who will still be without some of their bigger names for the rest of the regular season (and some of the playoffs).
Based on what I've read, the absolute earliest Almiron may be back is the last game of the regular season. Sounds like Garza wouldn't be back until the conference finals at the earliest.
The way Atlanta plays, it is entirely conceivable that the first game Almiron plays in will also be his last for the year. Recovery from a hamstring injury is always dicey to begin with, and typically even when it begins to feel back to normal, it’s not. Their frenetic/chaotic pace is a case study of redlining the muscles by doing the soccer equivalent of the shuttle run- he’s gonna re-pull it and I’m gonna have to try hard not to spit out my scotch laughing.Based on what I've read, the absolute earliest Almiron may be back is the last game of the regular season. Sounds like Garza wouldn't be back until the conference finals at the earliest.
Based on what I've read, the absolute earliest Almiron may be back is the last game of the regular season. Sounds like Garza wouldn't be back until the conference finals at the earliest.
Let's not forget that NJ could be playing for their playoff lives vs. ATL, who will still be without some of their bigger names for the rest of the regular season (and some of the playoffs).