SportsClubStats gives NYCFC a 84% chance of a top four seed with its simulations.
NYCFC win: 82% to end in 3rd place.
NYCFC tie: 80% to end in 4th place and get the last home game.
NYCFC loss: 47% 4th, 44% 5th place.
New York City FC Playoff Chances - Sports Club Stats
New York City FC playoff odds, and who you should root for today.www.sportsclubstats.com
We can't fall below third if we win. If we are on 53, we leapfrog Philly due to the tiebreaker, and only Nashville can leap ahead of us. So we'd be no worse than third no matter what if we win. Atlanta can sit on 53, but they'd have fewer wins which is the first tiebreaker.
And a tie, the only way we don't get 4th is if Atlanta or Red Bulls win out.