7th - 10th seems to be the consensus of the analysts. I don't think that will be the case.
More like 9 to 11. The average is 10. The median is 10. 7 and 13 are outliers. In fact it is a perfectly symmetrical bell curve:7th - 10th seems to be the consensus of the analysts. I don't think that will be the case.
This is their job. They are supposed to be the experts. That involves knowing more than where a team ranked in last year’s table.
Doyle published his tier ranking column today. He puts NYCFC in the third tier "High Upside Mystery Box" category , which I think is exactly right. He says "You could tell me anywhere from third to 12th in the East for NYCFC and I’d buy it." I'm in the same place.so it begins... 3 below new jersey.. i guess cause they signed forsberg?
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Doyle published his tier ranking column today. He puts NYCFC in the third tier "High Upside Mystery Box" category , which I think is exactly right. He says "You could tell me anywhere from third to 12th in the East for NYCFC and I’d buy it." I'm in the same place.
Looking at the power rankings, I think it shows one reason why NYCFC was projected on the lower end of the 3-12 range in the predictions over the weekend. The East is stacked, with 5 of the top 6 teams and 7 of the top 10. Six of those seven finished top 10 in points in 2023, and the 7th is Miami.
So basically, if you're predicting and projecting, it's hard to insert us over the teams who actually did it last year, or Messi and Friends. And NYCFC is so, so young. Doyle again: "NYCFC are probably a bit too young – they’ve got exactly one guy over the age of 26 projected to be in the starting lineup. Guys like James Sands (23), Santiago Rodríguez (24) and Talles Magno (21) are all grizzled vets. In this league and most others, young teams may play good soccer for long stretches, but they tend not to win stuff."
The trick for this club will be keeping the young guns around longer than Gaby.
LOL Alexis dig on Charlie... hilarious
Jovan was only official as of Monday this week. I don't know what the show policy is on likely but unofficial rumors. But they might have filmed it last week.Wonder when this was filmed, because no mention of Jovan would seem to indicate this is a few weeks old. Strange it just got released now.
Last year NYCFC losses came in 2 flavors: (1) games where they generated a pitiful number of chances and scored 0 or 1 goals, and (2) games where they generated a decent, and occasionally even healthy number of chances which they failed to finish, and scored o or 1 goals.
Type 1 could be blamed on Nick, or the roster.
Type 2 is IMO either bad luck or you can blame the players for not finishing. Coaching is not irrelevant but IMO it's the least likely cause.
If Nick is going to stay employed they have to stop having Type1 games with any regularity, because the roster now is good enough to generate at least a league average number of xG. The league average per game last year was 1.29. NYC had 1.17. Cumulative league average was 44.2, NYCFC 39.9. Actual non-OGs was 45.3 for the league, and 34 for NYCC.
I think we need time for the attack to gel. Despite full preseason together, bakrar and santi don't seem to be on the same page. Wolf seems to have a better connection but still needs time.
Most concerning for me is the lack of attacking patterns in transition and to breakdown a defensive block. That is coaching. We don't even seem to be trying anything.. and if the players aren't doing what they are asked to do then they need to go. Period.
Overall I agree. If we are creating a good number of decent chances the goals will come. If we aren't even creating them that's a big problem.
Would also be nice if we improved our set piece defending which is once again, poor.