Some general thoughts/suspicions I've had throughout the year have been crystallized to me while watching these playoffs:
We were never real contenders in this competition. We lack quality at far too many positions.
We did better than we should have in the regular season, thanks to gallant efforts from our DP players and occasional flukes from other guys.
Turf means real grass, and has for centuries. That's why they put a prefix in front of it to mean fake grass.Fun Fact: Both first legs featured 60K+ crowds on a turf field. MLS 1.5
Edit: Only 47,774 in Seattle...
FIFY. When our players were on, we could compete with these teams. But we couldn't depend on a strong team performance on any given day.We were never real contenders in this competition. We lackqualityconsistency at far too many positions.
That's funny. Because the first 3 months of the season this whole forum was complaining that our record under-represented our performance.Definitely played above our mean but came crashing down in the playoffs.
I'm not sure how different that is, actually.FIFY. When our players were on, we could compete with these teams. But we couldn't depend on a strong team performance on any given day.
We did better than we should have in the regular season, thanks to gallant efforts from our DP players and occasional flukes from other guys.
Definitely played above our mean but came crashing down in the playoffs. Need to raise the consistency of talent throughout the season.
That's funny. Because the first 3 months of the season this whole forum was complaining that our record under-represented our performance.
All noted. But here's what I don't think your numbers, or any numbers, can tell us: how much of our success was "peak performance", either due to non-consistent standout plays/players or just our team performing closer to 100% than the competition. Now, those aren't necessarily bad things, but I think they played a very significant role if we look at how much we "dipped" in "big games". Perhaps the reason would be that the actual contenders have "more in the tank" to turn on when the games actually matter.We had the 7th best GD in the league (+5) but finished 4th in points which suggests our results outran our performance but not by an alarming amount. By GD we were a midlevel playoff team, 4th best in the East.
We did not get to a positive GD that stayed positive until September 23 in Game 31.
If you drop our worst and best games the GD goes up to +8.
If you exclude RB our GD against the rest of the league was +13.
If you exclude our last 3 wins against teams whose seasons were over (CHI, HOU and CLB) our GD was -3.
Our record in close games (+1,0,-1) where a single flukey play can most affect the outcome was 7-4-9 for 1.5 PPG which was slightly worse than the season overall and probably not too significant.
I would expect our Home record to be better next year while our Away record slips. Neither is guaranteed but the early Home record was terrible due to a combination of flukes and a slow adjustment to Vieira's system. The first half Away record included a streak of 5 wins in 7 games followed by 1 win in the last 7. Looking at history teams with excellent Away records in MLS revert to the mean more than half the time the following year. The direction in which those 2 likely reversions offset each other will have a large effect on next year's performance.
Think we got three points in Portland because of a wild game by Saunders and Hernandez (way above average), a world class assist by RJ and goal by McNamara.
So happy I made that trip as well haha. Portland was an amazing city too.good memories seeing that live....will cherish those memories forever![]()
I think we're addressing the same issue and reaching the same conclusions using different metrics and data. I think we both agree the team's record made it look better than it was. It was still a good team, but not very good and not likely to compete at the very top level despite finishing Top 4 in the overall standings. You're basing it on your analysis of the team's quality after watching the games and mine is based on comparing the W-L-D/Points record against secondary indicia that don't match up.All noted. But here's what I don't think your numbers, or any numbers, can tell us: how much of our success was "peak performance", either due to non-consistent standout plays/players or just our team performing closer to 100% than the competition. Now, those aren't necessarily bad things, but I think they played a very significant role if we look at how much we "dipped" in "big games". Perhaps the reason would be that the actual contenders have "more in the tank" to turn on when the games actually matter.
Now, I don't know precisely what any of that means for us going forward, other than we need to improve significantly before we really have a chance at winning MLS Cup. When I look at the rosters of teams left in the competition on a slot-by-slot basis, I just see us lacking in more than a couple of places.
so what you're saying is we're a lock for the Eastern Conference Final? :tearsofjoy::tearsofjoy:If our roster does not improve at multiple spots I expect the team will do worse in the regular season next year, but still make the playoffs.