Wouldn't it be wild if we snuck in the back door and made a run? It is, after all, MLS.
In any event, at least we have a reason to dive into Decision Day now. #LFG #COYBIB
NYCFC Season Discussion 2023: We Know What We Are, But Not What We May Be
- Thread starter mgarbowski
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In any event, at least we have a reason to dive into Decision Day now. #LFG #COYBIB
would be absolutely wild to qualify, win the wildcard game, and then take down FCC. and then we get knocked out. haha. that would be so MLS and i would be all for it.
If we win by 2, Charlotte draws (or loses), and RB draws at Nashville, we'd be even with RB and Charlotte on points and better in goal differential than both (and Montreal for that matter). Why wouldn't we advance? What's the tie breaker tree?
The best of three format ensures at least one home game right? So draw on the road (and win in PKs) and win your home game and boom on to the knockouts. That is so MLS.
First tie breaker is not goal differential, it’s wins. Yeah, MLS is going to be MLS.
1) Root for NYCFC to win at Citi
2) Root for NJRB to lose at Nashville
3) Root for Messi to win or tie his game at Charlotte
Thats actually a fun scenario and not a ridiculous outcome
2) Root for NJRB to lose at Nashville
3) Root for Messi to win or tie his game at Charlotte
Thats actually a fun scenario and not a ridiculous outcome
The funny thing is...if we make it to the Wild Card match, we're playing Montreal...
Who is the only team that we've won on the road this season (and have never lost in their stadium).
Also, if anyone is thinking about wanting to go to this potential Wild Card match in Montreal it would very much likely be on Wednesday, October 25th. Maybe buy flights and hotels now and just cancel if things don't go our way Saturday for a refundable credit (Delta eCredit for me, hotel is 100% refund cancellable until Monday, October 23).
Currently in 7th, they can move up to 6th and even 5th with a win and dropped points by Atlanta and New England (plus making up some GD against the Revs). Reaching 6th is not unlikely. They cannot drop below 7th. The issue is what does moving up get them. At 7th, NSH would play Orlando who is locked into the 2 spot, and the Lions are the worst home team of the top 4 in the East. Orlando also have the lowest goal differential of the top 4, suggesting they are more efficient /lucky than good, and their xGD is just 9th in the East. You should want to play Orlando.
But once in the game Nashville will play to win. They concede less than a goal per game and their starting defense and keeper are likely to play, if not most of the offense, given they just had a 2 week layoff and won't play the 8-9 game.
You're not wrong to expect the worst but if it happens I don't think it will be because Nashville rests most of their best.
I think the most likely scenario is that Nashville wins, Miami gets a result, and we draw 1-1.
I think you mean 0-0, with Bakrar and Magno hitting the post five times.
According to PlayoffStatus.com
Montreal 28% and only team that needs no help.
Charlotte 28%
Fire 20%
NYCFC 13%
RB 11%
Despite RB having the lowest percentage chance I think they all but control their destiny. They are tied with the Fire and Charlotte at 40 points. Montreal has 41. We have 38. RB and the Fire have 10 wins, CLT has 9. Fire GD is -11, RB is -4. If RB wins they finish 9th unless the Fire beat us by 8.
Montreal 28% and only team that needs no help.
Charlotte 28%
Fire 20%
NYCFC 13%
RB 11%
Despite RB having the lowest percentage chance I think they all but control their destiny. They are tied with the Fire and Charlotte at 40 points. Montreal has 41. We have 38. RB and the Fire have 10 wins, CLT has 9. Fire GD is -11, RB is -4. If RB wins they finish 9th unless the Fire beat us by 8.
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