They thought that last year as well. Even after all the unforeseen departures they expected Talles to step up and the club could be mediocre until the summer window. This year's even more inexplicable disappointment has been Bakrar scoring 0 goals through 7 games. It was a failure to overestimate Magno's ability to move positions and score more goals. Not expecting Bakrar to have an epic slump is more forgivable by itself, but they also bet everything on one guy. Last year's club not only lacked a primary scoring threat, it had epically low goal contributions from the 3-6 top scorers on the roster. And they did nothing to fix this. If Bakrar were converting his chances this would still be a below average scoring team. NYCFC is next to last in goals but also bottom 25% for xGoals.
This is why I'm frustrated. I can't see what they thought success would even look like this year. If Bakrar had 4 goals in 7 games the club would be sub median. The clubs with 9 goals rank 16-19 for goals scored. We don't even play most of the new guys, so who was supposed to round out the scoring? Not the backline. Not Sands, Perea or Parks (17 career goals in 15 combined seasons pre-2024). Wolf is new and gets minutes, but he had 5 goals his previous 4 seasons. So what was the plan? What would we look like if everything clicked?
I would also like to know how much of a contribution they expected from Jovan and Ojeda. As you have pointed out previously we have historically moved slowly in integrating our young players when we look at all of the young players in the team's history. If you factor in the price paid and look at only young players we have paid over $5M for the story is slightly different. Magno subbed on in his first game with the club and started the next game. Fernandez followed a similar pattern of making a sub-appearance and then starting the next game. They both followed their start with more sub appearances but the team put them out there to see what they could do and even in their non-starts they were playing meaningful min as subs.
The fact that Ojeda and Javan have not started a game and are seemingly behind guys like Jason and Martinez on the depth chart raises a lot of questions for me. Did the team know these guys wouldn't be ready to contribute right away but still signed them as development players? Are they ready but given the hot seat Nick is on is he sticking with guys he knows as opposed to taking a risk starting them? Did we sign these guys planning to have them contribute and they showed up more raw than expected? Is there a misalignment between what type of player the CFG scouting network thinks is MLS-ready and the reality of what it takes to play in MLS?
Jovan and Ojeda are both talented, it would be interesting to know if this minimal level of contribution was the expectation and the FO thought Bakrar and Wolf would buy us some development time for the young guys or if the team planned on getting more from Ojeda and Jovan and it just hasn't happened yet.