2016 Playoff Projections, or Hope By The Numbers

Here are the remaining schedules for each team in contention. Chicago is out.

Toronto: vs. DCU, at Montreal, vs. Chicago
NJ Red Fools: vs. Philly, vs. Columbus, at Philly
NYCFC: at Houston, at DCU, vs. Columbus
Philadelphia: at NJRB, vs. Orlando, vs. NJRB
Montreal: at Orlando, vs. Toronto, at New England
DC United: at Toronto, vs. NYC, at Orlando
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New England: vs. Sporting KC, at Chicago, vs. Montreal
Orlando: vs. Montréal, at Philly, vs. DC
Columbus: vs. Chicago, at Chicago, at NJRB, at NYC
 
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Here are the remaining schedules for each team in contention. Chicago is out.

Toronto: vs. DCU, at Montreal, vs. Chicago
NJ Red Fools: vs. Philly, vs. Columbus, at Philly
NYCFC: at Houston, at DCU, vs. Columbus
Philadelphia: at NJRB, vs. Orlando, vs. NJRB
Montreal: at Orlando, vs. Toronto, at New England
DC United: at Toronto, vs. NYC, at Orlando
-------------------
New England: vs. Sporting KC, at Chicago, vs. Montreal
Orlando: vs. Montréal, at Philly, vs. DC
Columbus: vs. Chicago, at Chicago, at NJRB, at NYC
This time of year is so much more fun than last year.
 
Shit, the playoffs already started IMO. Our last 3 league games should be treated like they are playoff games. Getting that bye is basically the equivalent of winning a knockout round. I'd love to see a real disciplined but breakneck performance by all 4 of our attacking positions - we all know our defense is going to fuck up at some point, so we can't afford not to score buckets of goals.

Edit: Also looks like Gio is on the brink of returning from his injury. He was questionable for last night's game, and they ended up leaving him out of the 18, but he seems to be close. Can only hope Lampard's fuckin leg does the same soon.
 
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Shit, the playoffs already started IMO. Our last 3 league games should be treated like they are playoff games. Getting that bye is basically the equivalent of winning a knockout round. I'd love to see a real disciplined but breakneck performance by all 4 of our attacking positions - we all know our defense is going to fuck up at some point, so we can't afford not to score buckets of goals.
Not just a bucket of goals, but a serious drive in the positive direction of our Goal Differential. Three wins gives us a minimum of +3 (+5overall) but 2-gapping each team takes us to +8, and I'd like to think we can hang a bunch on Houston. It still may not be enough since Toronto &/or NJ would need to lose at least 4-5 on the GD which over three games could be hard, but maybe they show up one night each and play like their inner-Chicago selves?!? And I'd be totally fine with food-poisoning to hit their training table meal(s) at least once - nothing like trying to play a game when dreaming of the toilet.
 
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Not just a bucket of goals, but a serious drive in the positive direction of our Goal Differential. Three wins gives us a minimum of +3 (+5overall) but 2-gapping each team takes us to +8, and I'd like to think we can hang a bunch on Houston. It still may not be enough since Toronto &/or NJ would need to lose at least 4-5 on the GD which over three games could be hard, but maybe they show up one night each and play like their inner-Chicago selves?!? And I'd be totally fine with food-poisoning to hit their training table meal(s) at least once - nothing like trying to play a game when dreaming of the toilet.

Given Houston's recent form, and our recent form on the road - we will be fortunate to get out with a win.
 
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Given Houston's recent form, and our recent form on the road - we will be fortunate to get out with a win.
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Son of a bitch. We're going to be locked up with NJRB in the conference semis.

One or both of us need to knock TFC out of the top spot.
Does it really matter if the semis or the final? Both are home/away and while it'd be great to have a proxy do our dirty work, there's no guarantee that proxy will succeed and we'd have to play them anyway (or then play the proxy that was tough enough to take RB down). Provided Hernandez isn't exploited, the lineup we fielded last week would have been more than a handful for RB to deal with - their defense does not do well when faced with multiple speed players.

I know for you RB is the equivalent to a scary clown doll, but sometimes it's easier to throw them in the trash rather than letting them play with knives in the kitchen.
 
Here are the remaining schedules for each team in contention. Chicago is out.

Toronto: vs. DCU, at Montreal, vs. Chicago
NJ Red Fools: vs. Philly, vs. Columbus, at Philly
NYCFC: at Houston, at DCU, vs. Columbus
Philadelphia: at NJRB, vs. Orlando, vs. NJRB
Montreal: at Orlando, vs. Toronto, at New England
DC United: at Toronto, vs. NYC, at Orlando
-------------------
New England: vs. Sporting KC, at Chicago, vs. Montreal
Orlando: vs. Montréal, at Philly, vs. DC
Columbus: vs. Chicago, at Chicago, at NJRB, at NYC

DCU's win last night basically doomed Columbus as well. 8 points back with 4 to play. CLB doesn't win any of the next 3 games and most likely they show up to NYC out of the playoffs with nothing to play for. Excellent.
 
Here is the current table.

It's really down to two groups of 3 jockeying for position within those 3. After last night, it is going to be very hard for anyone below the line to catch up.

View attachment 5835

NYCFC also has 2 more wins than Philadelphia (remember, total wins is first tiebreaker, not goal differential) so as of right now has a big advantage on the 3-4 tiebreaker. Most likely one more win, or a tie and a Philly loss, clinches 3rd for the Pigeons.
 
Given Houston's recent form, and our recent form on the road - we will be fortunate to get out with a win.

This. I don't know why people think NYCFC is going to go to Houston and get a multi-goal beatdown. Houston has only lost 2 games at home all year and has gone 3-1-2 in their last five. This is not an easy game folks and NYCFC will need to dig deep to get a result. NYCFC also does not play well in heat and humidity. A tie would be adequate, and a win would be a massive result and would be badly needed to get the 1/2 seed.